Technical Talk:Gold 13-02-2019

Gold remains capped below $1315-16 supply zone, US CPI in focus
Our preference: long positions above 1309.50 with targets at 1314.25 & 1315.75 in extension.Alternative scenario: below 1309.50 look for further downside with 1308.00 & 1306.00 as targets.

Comment:
• Dovish Fed expectations continue to lend support and limit downside.
• Renewed USD buying/risk-on mood seemed to cap further up-move.
• Traders eye US consumer inflation figures for some meaningful impetus.

Gold held on to its mildly positive tone through the early European session,
albeit struggled to make it through the $1314-16 immediate supply zone.

Having found decent support ahead of the key $1300 psychological mark earlier this week,
the precious metal traded with a positive bias for the fourth session in the previous five and remained
supported by growing market expectations that the Fed was in no hurry to tighten rates further.

However, a combination of negative forces – renewed US Dollar buying interest and the prevalent risk-on mood,
which tends to dent demand for traditional safe-haven assets,
kept a lid on any strong follow-through up-move for the dollar-denominated commodity.

The US President Donald Trump’s overnight comments,
saying that he could let the March 1 tariff deadline to slide for a while,
fueled optimism over a breakthrough in the US-China trade talks and continued boosting investors’
appetite for riskier assets – like equities.

Meanwhile, the greenback stalled its overnight corrective slide and regained some traction during the early
European session on Wednesday, which further collaborated towards capping any
meaningful up-move for the commodity, at least for the time being.

Moving ahead, today’s US economic docket, highlighting the release of the latest consumer inflation figures,
might influence Fed rate hike expectations and eventually provide some meaningful impetus for the non-yielding
yellow metal later during the early North-American session.

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